The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable
(Book)

Book Cover
Published:
New York : Random House Trade Paperbacks, [2010].
Format:
Book
Edition:
2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed.
Physical Desc:
xxxiii, 444 pages : illustrations ; 21 cm
Status:
Description

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.

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CMC Steamboat Campus
Q 375 .T35 2010
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ASU Main (3rd floor)
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Citations
APA Citation (style guide)

Taleb, N. N. (2010). The black swan: the impact of the highly improbable. 2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed. New York: Random House Trade Paperbacks.

Chicago / Turabian - Author Date Citation (style guide)

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-. 2010. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York: Random House Trade Paperbacks.

Chicago / Turabian - Humanities Citation (style guide)

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas, 1960-, The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. New York: Random House Trade Paperbacks, 2010.

MLA Citation (style guide)

Taleb, Nassim Nicholas. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable. 2nd ed., Random trade pbk. ed. New York: Random House Trade Paperbacks, 2010. Print.

Note! Citation formats are based on standards as of July 2010. Citations contain only title, author, edition, publisher, and year published. Citations should be used as a guideline and should be double checked for accuracy.
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More Details
Language:
English
ISBN:
081297381X, 9780812973815

Notes

General Note
"Originally published in hardcover and in slightly different form in the United States ... by Random House in 2007"--Title page verso.
Bibliography
Includes bibliographical references (pages 401-429) and index.
Description
Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.
Staff View
Grouped Work ID:
26d52792-0404-2cf8-c054-a13b8a2e5dd8
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Record Information

Last Sierra Extract TimeJul 01, 2022 02:12:17 PM
Last File Modification TimeJul 01, 2022 02:17:39 PM
Last Grouped Work Modification TimeJul 01, 2022 02:12:41 PM

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5050 |a Prologue -- Umberto Eco's antilibrary, or how we seek validation. The apprenticeship of an empirical skeptic ; Yevgenia's black swan ; The speculator and the prostitute ; One thousand and one days, or how not to be a sucker ; Confirmation shmonfirmation! ; The narrative fallacy ; Living in the antechamber of hope ; Giacomo Casanova's unfailing luck : the problem of silent evidence ; The Ludic fallacy, or the uncertainty of the nerd -- We just can't predict. The scandal of prediction ; How to look for bird poop ; Epistemocracy, a dream ; Appelles the Painter, or what do you do if you cannot predict? -- Those gray swans of Extremistan. From Mediocristan to Extremistan and back ; The bell curve, that great intellectual fraud ; The aesthetics of randomness ; Locke's madmen, or bell curves in the wrong places ; The uncertainty of the phony -- The end. Half and half, or how to get even with the black swan -- Epilogue : Yevgenia's white swans -- Postscript essay: on robustness an fragility, deeper philosophical and empirical reflections. Learning from mother nature, the oldest and the wisest ; Why I do all this walking, or how systems become fragile ; Margaritas ante porcos ; Asperger and the ontological black swan ; (Perhaps) the most useful problem in the history of modern philosophy ; Fourth quadrant, the solution to that most useful of problems ; What to do with the fourth quadrant ; Ten principles for a black-swan-robust society ; Amor fati: how to become indestructible.
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